Don't think Modi is a gone case

People of Bihar celebrate in full vigor and showing their jubilation to elect Nitish Kumar as the next CM.  He is going to take an oath to the coveted post for the fifth time. In India’s political history so far, it is a record.  No doubt, the man is a suave and strategist.  After the humiliating defeat in the hands of NDA in the last general election, Nitish was all the while formulating a befitting strategy to trounce BJP and its allies.  He becomes successful on the 8th of this month.  Here are the three major reasons, which caused this debacle.  First, BJP could not understand the master mind of Nitish.  Second, Modi’s over dependence on Amit Shah and the third, Modi’s economic agendas, particularly, for creation of more jobs are yet to  produce any tangible results. In the past eighteen months, Modi has been struggling like anything, but somehow the dark cloud is still not disappearing from his fate.

Now, let us analyze all these three factors. No sooner, Nitish called Lalu and offered a friendship formula in the last year immediately after the defeat in the general election, Modi should have taken cautionary measures. May be, he took lightly and was very confident for his own charismatic image. No doubt, he is able to maintain his popularity even today, but definitely he made a tactical error to judge the political mind of Nitish.  He showed his solidarity on Amit Shah so much that he ignores the other functionaries in the party or in his coterie. For example, the man Prashant Kishore, who was so instrumental in his success, when he was CM and also one of the main strategists behind his massive victory in the last general election was more or less sidelined. He switched over his loyalty to Nitish’s party and JD (U), and Modi gets a set back. Modi has run pillar to post in the last eighteen months and he has done what best possible for him to do.  But the main outcome with respect to job creation is a total failure. The common proletariat does not understand much about the slogans of “Make in India,” “Swacch Bharat,” or “Black money retrieval.” They want simply bread, shelter and clothes. Despite Modi’s hurricane tour and conducting many election rallies, he could not give a victory to his party and alliance in Bihar. He could manage a huge turnout for each of his election rallies, but the same has not been translated into votes. Apart from the above three major reasons, there are many political reasons which support the defeat of BJP for example, Lalu’s acceptance of Nitish Kumar as CM, BJP’s inability  to pull out more votes of economically backward class, Mohan Bhagwat’s statement favoring the review of quota  alleging a fear that BJP is conspiring to abolish the caste based reservation, Muslims were persuaded to take almost back seat so as to reduce the cross-polarization in votes in favor of BJP, supports from the secular leaders like Mamta Banerjee, Arvind Kejriwal and finally, Modi’s volubility against Nitish Kumar’s DNA, which  backfired and also aroused the  sentiments of Biharis.

Modi has lost, but not out. In fact, Nitish and Lalu will now  try to take their friendship to a peak level and will convince Mulayam in their stride to dislodge the NDA government in the next general election in 2019. After all, what is wrong  in trying? May be,they  undermine Modi’s capabilities, which are yet to blossom in full petals?