Who wants cluttered and deranged parliament?

Nonsensical approach of Chennai bureaucrats

Thumping win may be a bumpy ride

Municipal elections held in Baroda, Gujarat on last Sunday

We, Barodians had a peaceful election day on the 22nd instant, the turnout was almost 45 percent. It is the fact that the Patidar movement has caused embarrassing situation, which definitely erodes the BJP's base over here in Baroda. But, I still believe that the ruling party will emerge as the leader. The municipal election is an important yardstick to measure the present popularity of the party, particularly before the assembly election, which is going to be held in Gujarat in the year 2017.
As a political analyst, I feel that if the ruling party wants to continue its stronghold in this state, the guard at the helm needs to be changed. A very astute political administrator and shrewd  leader must take the responsibility ;otherwise, this party has to face difficulties.

My article published in Central Chronicle newspaper,Raipur

Don't think Modi is a gone case

People of Bihar celebrate in full vigor and showing their jubilation to elect Nitish Kumar as the next CM.  He is going to take an oath to the coveted post for the fifth time. In India’s political history so far, it is a record.  No doubt, the man is a suave and strategist.  After the humiliating defeat in the hands of NDA in the last general election, Nitish was all the while formulating a befitting strategy to trounce BJP and its allies.  He becomes successful on the 8th of this month.  Here are the three major reasons, which caused this debacle.  First, BJP could not understand the master mind of Nitish.  Second, Modi’s over dependence on Amit Shah and the third, Modi’s economic agendas, particularly, for creation of more jobs are yet to  produce any tangible results. In the past eighteen months, Modi has been struggling like anything, but somehow the dark cloud is still not disappearing from his fate.

Now, let us analyze all these three factors. No sooner, Nitish called Lalu and offered a friendship formula in the last year immediately after the defeat in the general election, Modi should have taken cautionary measures. May be, he took lightly and was very confident for his own charismatic image. No doubt, he is able to maintain his popularity even today, but definitely he made a tactical error to judge the political mind of Nitish.  He showed his solidarity on Amit Shah so much that he ignores the other functionaries in the party or in his coterie. For example, the man Prashant Kishore, who was so instrumental in his success, when he was CM and also one of the main strategists behind his massive victory in the last general election was more or less sidelined. He switched over his loyalty to Nitish’s party and JD (U), and Modi gets a set back. Modi has run pillar to post in the last eighteen months and he has done what best possible for him to do.  But the main outcome with respect to job creation is a total failure. The common proletariat does not understand much about the slogans of “Make in India,” “Swacch Bharat,” or “Black money retrieval.” They want simply bread, shelter and clothes. Despite Modi’s hurricane tour and conducting many election rallies, he could not give a victory to his party and alliance in Bihar. He could manage a huge turnout for each of his election rallies, but the same has not been translated into votes. Apart from the above three major reasons, there are many political reasons which support the defeat of BJP for example, Lalu’s acceptance of Nitish Kumar as CM, BJP’s inability  to pull out more votes of economically backward class, Mohan Bhagwat’s statement favoring the review of quota  alleging a fear that BJP is conspiring to abolish the caste based reservation, Muslims were persuaded to take almost back seat so as to reduce the cross-polarization in votes in favor of BJP, supports from the secular leaders like Mamta Banerjee, Arvind Kejriwal and finally, Modi’s volubility against Nitish Kumar’s DNA, which  backfired and also aroused the  sentiments of Biharis.

Modi has lost, but not out. In fact, Nitish and Lalu will now  try to take their friendship to a peak level and will convince Mulayam in their stride to dislodge the NDA government in the next general election in 2019. After all, what is wrong  in trying? May be,they  undermine Modi’s capabilities, which are yet to blossom in full petals?

Arun Shouri's loquacity targets Modi again

In any political rivalry, either you  make your opponent to keep quiet by  bonhomie  or kill them with invective words. Arun Shourie is acting on the second theory knowing well that Modi will remain nonchalant. The erudition of Shourie is a fact. The people are aware that he is one of the well acclaimed journalists, but by criticizing Modi what advantage he wants to bring in, nobody knows. Very recently, he says that our PM is acting more like a section officer of a homeopathy department and less as a Prime Minister, which is an intolerable statement. Through his volubility, he even cautioned Modi  not to act like a  head of a department. Had this insolent comment come from Manmohan Singh, people would have somehow digested, but no sensible person who is  politically motivated can bear the brunt of this statement.

In the recent days, Shourie has lashed out at the NDA government and the PM.  His objections starting from their failure to curb violence to the controversy over beef.  He named this government as “Congress plus a cow.” Many people are fully aware that why Shourie is so upset?  The  reason that he was not offered a post in the ministry and since then, he started to find out  loopholes of this government. Shourie even accused Modi that he is deliberately keeping quiet on a very sensitive issue like the Dadri lynching whereas his ministerial colleagues and BJP’s  other top ranking functionaries are keeping this alive just to win the ensuing election at Bihar.  

Further, Shourie’s deleterious comment that Modi in conjunction with Amit Shah is creating another community wrangling in Bihar is incorrect. Arun Shouri cited a Pakistani analyst’s comment to support his statement, which says that the neighboring countries when try to get out of the pit, India is slowly going down. It is true that India’s law and order situation are in a bit ruinous condition in some places, but on the whole, it is far better than Pakistan and other neighboring countries.

Apart from Modi, Shourie attacked Jaitley because of his blank support for the PM.  As per Shourie, he is one of the persons, tolerating all types of idiosyncrasies, since last ten years.

Shourie also supported the writers, artists and academicians for their returning the awards back.  He justified their actions, saying how these celebrities can adjust with this climate of “intolerance”. He supported these intellectuals as  they are the  knowledge torch bearers of the society and are conscious keepers.  Shourie praised the eminent scientists P.M. Bhargava and Infosys’s founder Murthy for their vehement protest against government’s inefficiency to curb the organized crime and atrocities. The former minister expressed his unhappiness for Jaitley’s comment for these dignitaries as “rabid anti-BJP”. 

The fact remains that today Shourie is screaming from the rooftop and showing his displeasure, but what significant contribution he made when he was a minister?  It is very easy and may be a fundamental right for citizens to criticize, but let it be a constructive one. Just by saying, Modi is communal, instigating the communal factors to win the elections, not mentioning anything on Dadri incident or stampede in Mecca, India’s overall progress will not get zapped immediately. At least, Modi is trying; he is showing his zeal to recover the fragile economy as well as making schemes for social upliftment.  What Arun Shourie had done, can anybody explain? To be  an erudite person is one thing; but doing something politically, socially and on economic front is another thing.

Which is more important;GDP growth or job creation?

 

Modi is trying hard to create more jobs in the organized sectors, but the return of his efforts is not so encouraging.  GDP growth is inevitable, but this particular scenario of more job creations is a factor for the NDA government’s survival. In a democratic pattern of government, the policy makers must formulate the economic policies in such a way that must induce the social welfare of the population.  This welfare when creates benefits for the larger sections of the society and the youth, the incumbent government will definitely retain the power.  Modi emphatically pointed out the necessity of more job creations in the organized sectors and advised the business tycoons and the industrialists of India to think on those lines. They have taken his suggestions in good spirit, but the enthusiasm of Modi has not been converted into job creations significantly. It is true that this government is effective enough to increase the GDP growth, curtailment of inflation and controlling the corruption.  At the same time, the failure of creation of enough jobs, which is required to engage the vast population of the younger generation, is missing. This same situation was there in the last phase of governance of the UPA government.  The then leaders were mostly busy to ensure their names should not be linked to the scams and were totally inactive to this vital policy of increasing the job creations. 

The GDP growth will be more beneficiary for the rich at the cost of the weaker sections.  In contrast, job creations in the organized sectors will give a relief to many unemployed, especially the poor. Further, either providing a job or giving a source of regular income to the needy persons, the government can uplift the socio-economical conditions of the underprivileged fraternity. That is how CPM has ruled the state of West Bengal for almost three decades and more?  One of the triumph cards they used to provide was land reforms and makes the poor land owners powerful. They created a sort of vote banks.

 

Another factor, which supports the job creation, is nearly thirty percent of the total population in the demographic group of 20 to 30 years needs a source of income and the government has to provide support for them.  If not job, then, some other security is to be given.  This will be an enormous task. The above figure is quite alarming when it is compared with the share of the same demographic group in China, Korea and USA. In these countries, these groups are  mostly well settled. So, if the government is not implementing various policies to augment the job creations, it will be a real problem for the government.  It is not that immediate debacle will be there in the next general election and partners of NDA government may not face the problem, but they must be agile. The NDA government must think on this demographic sector of unemployed population otherwise, there will be a threat. Unemployed youth, in the absence of a job, can involve them in unsocial activities, creating violence and even may be disrupting the life of citizens of India.  In fact, we have seen these types of politically created violence like Naxalites and Maoist activities. If this particular demographic sector is not provided with the jobs, then the situation may be very chaotic.  So, there must be a change in the outlook of the government and divert their attention for a while from GDP growth to job creations in the organized sectors. For that, Indian industrialists must come forward to fulfill the charismatic mission of Modi to make India as a hub of Asian Countries.

 

 

 

 

USA may create history by electing the first female President

USA may create history by electing the first female President

 

The democratic candidate Hillary Clinton may be the first lady President of the USA. The much publicized debate in the week before last  in Las Vegas, which was telecasted gave an impression of her success to fight for the next Presidential election.  In the debate, she had shown her brilliance and touched a wide range of issues with her volubility. Not only she had expressed her views with authority, but also shown her guts and intellect to rule the most prosperous democratic country of the world. In fact, the Americans appreciated her political acumen duly supplemented by her long experience in government.  She was the only woman on the stage in the debate who  expressed her ambitious posture of her confidence many times. From her positive vibe, it was amply clear that she is the right democratic candidate to rule the USA. Against the questions of the recent controversy related to her personal emails, she responded very well.  She also deliberated on various issues of policies at the time when she was the secretary of State in Obama’s government.  

 

The performance of her opponents was mostly lackluster, which includes the socialist senator Bernie Sanders.  Though her success in the debate in Las Vegas was colorful, she may not get a very comfortable ride in the next lined up debates.  Clinton obviously will get an edge in her further election campaigns after this debate, but the race is not yet over.  She may get competition from Vice President Joe Biden.  Further, her skyrocketed popularity as shown in the poll numbers earlier has softened in recent weeks.  This is mainly because of the controversy related to the mails leaked out in the media.

As per the  poll news by Reuters, the percentage of her popularity from the democratic supporters decreases from 57% to 41%.  The news agency poll, which was taken in between 4^th to 9^th October, 15, indicated this fall out. During the same period,  the support of Sanders and Biden went up to 28% and 20% respectively. Needless to say that Hillary Clinton has to face  a stiff competition. Very recently, Hillary decided to come out against one of the central foreign policy achievements of Obama government that is the Trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP). Clinton’s views and her stance on TPP  is opposed by various Democratic constituencies, namely organized labor and environmental lobby groups. As per them, she is taking completely a U-turn, because in the year 2012 when she the  secretary of State in Obama’s government described this same TPP as the “gold standard in trade agreements to open, free, transparent, free trade.”

                                                                                                            

Sander has vehemently attacked her views on many of her foreign policies describing the same as gibberish.  Despite Sander’s accusation of Hillary’s policies, his chance to win the nomination for the Presidentship is low.  Assessing the facts and poll numbers taken by IPsos / Reuters, it seems that Hillary is the front runner in the nomination.  But she is being hounded on the key issues that may jeopardize her opportunity to win the general election in the 2016 against Republicans.  Whatever may be, if she wins, it is better for Modi and as a whole we Indians may be benefited for her friendly demeanor with us.  The bonhomie between the two countries will be continued for  for mutual benefits. The USA, of course, will create history to be ruled by a female President for the first time.

 

Can Modi dominate P 5 nations by 2025

Can Modi dominate P5 nations by 2025?

India is now recognized as one of the emerging and powerful countries in the world, whose economic condition is in an upswing. It is a good trend. But, we need to accomplish a lot to equate ourselves with USA, China and UK. Though China is in economic turmoil and UK’s economic condition is still engulfed with recession, India’s chance to become the world’s top most economies is not ruled out  as Modi is able to convince the world leaders to invest considerably in India. He is also taking many  pragmatic decisions to augment various reforms needed to increase the economy.  Modi is very ambitious to lead India and make India as  a powerful nation with adequate economic solvency. In the present scenario, India is widely acknowledged by the super powers of the world, which is basically because of Modi’s  powerful projection of our country’s future plan and actions being taken to fulfill the same. 

The two main factors, namely foreign policy and political decisions need to be streamlined and augmented in the right direction without decision paralysis. Modi’s tireless efforts to establish a rapport with his neighboring countries except Pakistan are laudable.  We are getting results of his efforts. His equation with the super power like USA, and UK and also countries like Germany, France and Sweden are quite appreciative. The heads of these countries are praising his vision to increase India’s GDP growth.  But they expect more reforms, no red-tapism and  less bureaucratic interference. Modi is trying to ensure that setting up of various businesses in India is possible with less political hindrance. But the industrialists and business tycoons of different countries feel that the domestic environment is still dominated by bureaucratic interference and red tapism. So, Modi  must ensure to deal with the political decisions of a sensitive nature expeditiously. The political decisions of an important nature, like the land bill, GST and curtailment of unemployment should not become as impediments to establish more and more industries. Modi has extended his leadership to improve India’s relationship with almost all the heads of various countries. Seeing his charismatic power of  leadership, Nawaz Sharif is inclined for a friendly gesture, but that will not be easier because Pakistan’s control is in the hand of Raheel Shariff, the Army Chief. Truly speaking, Nawaz has a very limited say to increase business ties and establish a cordial relationship with India.

Bilaterally, India under Modi’s leadership has done well to intensify the already growing relationship with the USA, Japan and Australia. His hurricane tours to various parts of the world have yielded bilateral ties with many European powers also. During his visit in Silicon Valley in USA and also in New York in the week before last, he pitched India as a level playing and a business friendly country. He has categorically accentuated India’s present infrastructure facilities to set up business ventures of higher magnitude.  In his hour long discussions with USA’s President Obama over there, he clearly emphasized his future mission. Modi is very much eager to take the role of a supreme power to enhance India’s sovereignty, but domestically our bureaucrats must support his thinking and futuristic developments and they should function accordingly with accuracy and speed. The domestic front needs to be brought into the platform equal to the vision of Modi, otherwise the powers like USA, UK, Australia, China and Japan will not listen to his speech attentively what they do now. Till now, we are not the members of UN Security Council, which is limited to only five nations of the world.  Whether these five nations will agree to induct India as a full member, it is to be watched. Somehow, we have to be a member of the UN Security Council to dominate the powerful nations of the world.  Of course, Germany & Japan are also not the members of UN council, but they are in a position to voice their concern whenever their interest is curbed to the members of this council. Modi must know the secrets from these two nations how they dominate the world’s power. Accordingly, he has to formulate  strong foreign policies and  take hard political decisions to convince all the P 5 nations hear him as an authority and take his decisions related to important global matters.

How to always accuse Modi;The only mission of Congress

How to always accuse Modi; The only mission of  Congress

The Congress party is protesting Modi’s signing on the national flag during his visit to the USA in the week before last. The same is supported by the CEO of Flag Foundation of India Commander (Retd) K.V. Singh. They are saying that the signing was “not in good taste.” From this news, one can feel that Modi has made a blunder. The Congress has made a controversy out of  his this action. All the persons, including some Twitterati accuse him to show disrespect to our tricolor flag. The NDA government, however, has not found anything wrong and supported him. They also defended him very rightly as Modi has broken any protocol. The NDA government has described their allegation as a trash  and also say that the  controversy is a baseless allegation. The fact is Modi had signed a flag to be gifted to US President Obama, drawn by a local handicap child.  With an idea to appreciate the child’s noble cause and his ability, Modi had performed this act. In fact, our Prime Minister must be praised for showing his magnanimity to the child as despite the odds; the child has created a piece of art. This differently-abled child had used his toes to draw the flag, which was not a correct flag as there was no Ashoka Wheel therein.  So, Modi has not violated the code of conduct stipulated by Flag code of India, 2002.  His conduct does not cross the rules laid down by the Prevention of Insults to National Honor Act. Modi simply acknowledged the talent of the child. The government’s administrative machineries namely DG (media & communications) do not find nothing wrong in this activity. The flag code states that no one is allowed to put any lettering there.  It also says whatever position he or she occupies, the lettering to our flag is a complete disrespect. Modi is aware of these rules. Congress and other critics must know the fact that it is not a real flag. Unnecessarily, they are making an issue for no good a reason and start criticizing him.  Modi, as a human being, can make mistakes, can take wrong decisions and  his party may be defeated in the elections, but at least, he is putting efforts for the country’s growth and progress. What Congress is doing?

The Congress party has taken an oath to resist Modi’s all plans and policies.  Sometimes, their protest is so vague, as if their right hand does not know what the left hand is doing.  Instead of doing any constructive work, they get themselves busy in all trivial issues wasting colossal losses of money and time.